We’ve made it through the first month and what was a very low scoring, uneven Week 4.  As usual, take note of the bye weeks during this time of the year. Make sure you get all of the Vikings, Jets, Dolphins and Panthers players to the bench this week.

 

As your token disclaimer and guide to this post, the intent isn’t a linear start/sit guide for rosters, but a vehicle to provide a game by game table of analysis with triple digit facts for the weekend. Take that information in conjunction with your own feelings and apply it to your Daily games and lineup conundrums. If you do wish to see my weekly player rankings, I do them weekly over at Fantasy Pros. Let’s roll into the Week 5 games…

 


Editor’s Note: For updated rankings, fantasy news columns, IDP, injury analysis, dynasty and much more, check out the Rotoworld Season Pass.


 

Indianapolis vs. Houston

 

 

  • DeAndre Hopkins leads all receivers with 20 targets 15 or more yards downfield, but just four have been complete. On throws 15 or more yards, Ryan Mallett is 5-22 while Brian Hoyer is 5-18.
  • Mallett is 13th in the league in pass attempts (137), but 24th in completions (71).
  • Houston averages the most plays per game in the first (37.8 plays) and second half (41.5) in the league.
  • Hopkins’ first half splits for the season: 9 receptions, 106 yards on 23 targets. Second Half: 22 receptions, 304 yards on 37 targets.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Hopkins has already played 48 more snaps than the next-highest receiver (Keenan Allen) and run 38 more routes than the next closest non-Houston receiver (Jeremy Maclin).
  • In his first game back, Arian Foster led the Texans backfield in snaps (33) and touches (11).
  • Last week, Matt Hasselbeck was the first quarterback over 40 to throw a touchdown since Mark Brunell in 2011.
  • T.Y. Hilton has gone over 75 receiving yards in five of six career games against Houston with six touchdowns.
  • Donte Moncrief has had 19-23 percent of the Colts targets in every game this season.
  • These two teams are the worst at first half scoring with a rate of 14 percent of their possessions. Houston has scored on four of 29 first half drives while Indianapolis has scored on just three of 22.

 

Trust: DeAndre Hopkins (Vontae Davis is unlikely to play as well as Cecil Shorts and Nate Washington is questionable. Hopkins is devouring snaps and targets at an absurd pace), T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief (no matter the quarterback, both have shown quality floors that come with big upside)

 

Bust: Andrew Luck (his injury is ominous and he wasn’t playing well before it was officially released, tack on that it’s a Thursday game), Frank Gore (48 percent of his runs have gone for two yards or less and has been a disaster the goal line. If Luck starts, bump him up to lower RB2 starter), Ryan Mallett

 

Reasonable Return: Arian Foster (game script killed us getting a tangible look last week, but he got through it cleanly and was still rested for a short week), Coby Fleener (on a short week, Dwayne Allen could miss again. Fleener has been TE13 and TE2 in his absence)

 


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Buffalo vs. Tennessee

 

 

  • Marcus Mariota ranks third in passing points per attempt (.632), behind Aaron Rodgers (.681) and Andy Dalton (.702).
  • 53.5 percent of Mariota’s fantasy points have come from touchdowns, the highest rate of any quarterback.
  • Mariota has been sacked on 11.6 percent of his dropbacks, highest rate in the league.
  • Every quarterback to face Buffalo so far has attempted 35 passes or more.
  • The Bills have allowed six top-24 wide receivers so far, tied with the Chiefs for the most in the league. Three have been primarily slot options in Julian Edelman, Jarvis Landry and Dwayne Harris.
  • Both of these teams are part of four teams (Browns and Raiders) that have allowed multiple touchdown passes in every game so far.
  • Charles Clay has continuously trended up, finishing as the TE20, TE15, TE4 and TE3.
  • Clay had 31 percent of the team targets last week, a season high for any Bills player.
  • After averaging .647 passing points per attempt through three weeks, Tyrod Taylor posted a .309 mark per attempt last week.

 

Trust: Charles Clay (with Sammy Watkins expected to miss again, expect another pile of targets against a team that has been giving to tight ends), Karlos Williams/LeSean McCoy (neither may play, but if they do, I’ll be all over them posting big weeks against a team that allowed 4.7 YPC to Doug Martin, 4.8 to Isaiah Crowell and 6.1 to Frank Gore), Kendall Wright, Delanie Walker (Buffalo has only allowed Gronk to cross 40 yards at tight end, but this offense is built to create space for the tight ends)

 

Bust: All Titans running backs (Tennessee has had a top-21 scorer in every week of the season, but they’ve been three different players so far. Avoid the group in this matchup)

 

Reasonable Return: Marcus Mariota (short passing attacks have been the way to approach handling the Bills so far, but needs solid protection this week), Tyrod Taylor (would bump him up if his playmakers were healthy. This may be the week we see him run a lot), RB Bills not Williams or McCoy (if both do miss, there’s likely a hodgepodge of Anthony Dixon and an ancillary player, but the matchup is strong), Percy Harvin (eight plus targets each of the past two weeks, but the floor is low)

 

Cleveland vs. Baltimore

 

 

  • Duke Johnson (116 yards) and Isaiah Crowell (125 yards) are the first set of Cleveland backs to each have 100 yards from scrimmage in the same game since William Green and Lee Suggs in Week 6, 2004.
  • Johnson has now seen his snap share increase every week this season, going from 43.7 percent, 53.1 and 53.3 to 60.6 percent last week.
  • Johnson was targeted on 24.4 percent of his snaps last week, the highest mark of all running backs.
  • Josh McCown‘s 77.8 completion percentage (21-27) on third down is the highest of all quarterbacks with at least 15 attempts.
  • Travis Benjamin has played 77.3 and 78.9 percent of the snaps the past two weeks and leads the Browns with 20 targets.
  • Gary Barnidge‘s 10.7 yards per target trails only Rob Gronkowski‘s 11.0 yard mark for all tight ends with 15 or more targets.
  • The Ravens have allowed just eight catches for 31 yards total to tight ends this season.
  • Cleveland is allowing 6.3 yards per play, 31st in the league.
  • Justin Forsett ranks 31st of all running backs in receiving points with 16.1.
  • 12 of Forsett’s 27 carries last week went for five or more yards after he had just eight such runs on his 39 carries through three weeks.

 

Trust: Justin Forsett (will have to be the entire offense this week and Cleveland has allowed a top-13 back every week so far)

 

Bust: Gary Barnidge, Isaiah Crowell (Baltimore just allowed their first 100-yard rusher since 2013 last week, don’t expect a repeat), Joe Flacco (he has no viable targets available)

 

Reasonable Return: Duke Johnson (role is growing weekly and reception floor makes him a solid play), Travis Benjamin (Cleveland is hell bent on making him happen), Josh McCown (the Browns’ passing game is devoid of an alpha talent, but they have been effective for three straight weeks), Kamar Aiken (expected volume increase, but also a low floor), Crockett Gillmore (if active, should be heavily involved and Cleveland has allowed three different tight ends to score)

 

Chicago vs. Kansas City

 

 

  • Jeremy Maclin is the first Chiefs WR to have back to back 100-yard games since Dwayne Bowe in 2011 and the first to have consecutive 140 yard games since Frank Jackson in 1964.
  • Maclin’s target percentage per route has been one of the most consistent in the league, going from 23.5 percent, 21.9 percent and 23.1 percent to 22.2 percent through four weeks.
  • Maclin is just one of four wide receivers (Demaryius Thomas, Julian Edelman and Antonio Brown) to have 25 percent of his team’s targets in every game this season.
  • With his 75 yards rushing on 11 carries last week, Jamaal Charles now has 11 games in his career with at least 70 rushing yards on fewer than 15 carries. The only running backs with more since the 1970 merger are James Brooks and DeAngelo Williams at 12 games each.
  • Charles has carried the ball on just 25.9 percent of his snaps, 38th of all backs who average 20 snaps per game.
  • Alex Smith‘s 386 passing yards last week bested his career high 378 passing yards from the 2014 postseason. It was just the fifth time in 109 career regular season starts he threw for 300 passing yards.
  • Smith has been a top-12 fantasy quarterback in three of the first four weeks.
  • Kansas City has allowed 17 sacks over the past three weeks, most in the league.
  • The Chiefs have allowed 13 red zone touchdowns, most in the league.
  • Matt Forte leads the league in runs for five or more yards at 29 and is tied for the league lead in runs for 10 or more yards (11).
  • Martellus Bennett had the third highest average weekly rank in 2014 at TE12.3. In his two full games with Jay Cutler this season, he’s been the TE10 and the TE1.

 

Trust: Jamaal Charles, Jeremy Maclin, Alex Smith, Matt Forte, Martellus Bennett

 

Bust: Eddie Royal (flip him into Jeffery’s spot if he’s inactive, but fourth in line for targets when this roster is a full go), Jay Cutler (the overall yardage should be here, but the daunting Vegas line and low projected team total has me staying away)

 

Reasonable Return: Alshon Jeffery (if he’s back, it’s a great matchup), Travis Kelce (the up and down pattern of his season suggests this is a plus week for Kelce, but has shown a TE17 floor twice already)

 


Seattle vs. Cincinnati

 

 

  • Andy Dalton was 5-7 for 177 yards with a touchdown on throws 15 plus yards this past week. Now he leads the league in completions (18), yards (600) and TD (5) on such throws.
  • Gio Bernard leads the NFL in fourth quarter rushing attempts with 30. The next highest is Mark Ingram at 19.
  • Jeremy Hill was the 5th highest scoring running back this past week, but also had a season-low nine touches.
  • 65.9 percent of Hill’s fantasy output is through touchdowns, highest dependency of all running backs.
  • Only New England is averaging more touchdowns (4.7) per game than the 4.0 by the Bengals through four weeks.
  • Seattle is averaging just .438 fantasy points per rushing attempt, 28th in the league. They led the league at .747 points per rushing attempt in 2014.
  • The Seahawks have allowed four or more sacks three times with multiple sacks in every game so far. Andy Dalton has been sacked twice.
  • Seattle has allowed just one top-40 scoring receiver (Randall Cobb WR21) on the season.
  • Jimmy Graham has been the TE9, TE40, TE3 and the TE20 through four weeks.

 

Trust: Tyler Eifert (has been a top-7 tight end in three of four weeks, will have to be a big part of the game plan since Seattle defends the boundaries so well), Marshawn Lynch (Cincinnati  has been able to keep teams from running by controlling game scripts, but have given up some chunk yardage at times)

 

Bust: A.J. Green (he’ll find his way to Cary Williams enough and you aren’t benching him, but I have low expectations), Jeremy Hill (script and matchup issues, you’re playing for a short touchdown only), Marvin Jones (consistently low target volume showed last week that his floor is bottomless), Jimmy Graham (no tight end has reached 50 yards against the Bengals yet), Doug Baldwin

 

Reasonable Return: Andy Dalton (in Seattle I may fade him here, but he’s playing too well right now to run away from with Seattle traveling all the way East on a shortened week), Gio Bernard (failed to record a reception for the first time last week, but will need to be involved in the passing game here), Russell Wilson (holds a reasonable floor with rushing alone)

 

St. Louis vs. Green Bay

 

 

  • Todd Gurley had all 15 St. Louis RB attempts in the second half on Sunday for 144 yards. 137 of those yards came on five carries of 12, 20, 23, 30 and 52 yards. The previous long run by a STL RB was 13 yards by Tre Mason in Week 2.
  • Tavon Austin is just the 6th player ever to have receiving, rushing and punt return touchdowns through the first four weeks of the season.
  • Nick Foles averages 17.5 completions per game, better than only Cam Newton‘s 16.8.
  • The Rams are last in the league in offensive plays at 50.2 per game. They’ve run 116 fewer total plays than the first place team (Houston).
  • Green Bay is allowing 5.96 adjusted yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks, fifth lowest in the league.
  • After allowing 189 rushing yards Week 1, Green Bay has allowed just 90.3 rushing yards since, 7th fewest in the league.
  • Ty Montgomery played 98.6 percent of the snaps this past week, most on the team.
  • James Jones‘ 15.1 yards per targets is tops among receivers with 15 or more targets.
  • Aaron Rodgers is 11-14 with eight touchdowns inside of the opponent’s 10-yard line to start the season.
  • Rodgers is 19-22 for 206 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in the fourth quarter this season.

 

Trust: Aaron Rodgers (always trust Rodgers at home), Randall Cobb, James Jones

 

Bust: Richard Rodgers (the weekly floor is too low if fails to reach the end zone), Nick Foles, Ty Montgomery (the snaps have been there, but the results have still been on par for a very green receiver)

 

Reasonable Return: Todd Gurley (the beginning started last week, but as huge road underdogs he may have to do a lot with very little), Eddie Lacy (the matchup is poor, but the script is in his favor and the Packers’ offense can create scoring opportunities), Tavon Austin (the Rams are manufacturing touches for him and scored and have also started using him as a real receiver)

 

Jacksonville vs. Tampa Bay

 

 

  • Jameis Winston‘s seven interceptions are the most by a Tampa Bay quarterback through four games since Chris Simms threw seven in 2006.
  • Mike Evans ranks 75th out 78 receivers with at least 15 targets in points per target (.83).
  • Just 23.4 percent of the runs against the Jaguars have gone for five or more yards, lowest rate in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has allowed 18 runs of 10 or more yards, most in the league.
  • Of the top-5 backs in touches on the season, only T.J. Yeldon (RB28) isn’t a top-10 fantasy scorer. Yeldon has the most touches (80) without a touchdown on the season.
  • After seeing 15 targets through three weeks, Allen Hurns had 15 last week.
  • Blake Bortles‘ 43.9 completion percentage (18-41) on third down is only better than Sam Bradford‘s 40.5 percent (15-37).
  • The Jaguars have scored on just three of 23 (13 percent) second-half drives, lowest rate in the league.

 

Trust: Allen Robinson (weekly usage has been steady and the matchup finally gets lighter), T.J. Yeldon (has been a volume play RB2, but if he can’t hit his ceiling here, then he may never hit it in another game on the schedule)

 

Bust: Allen Hurns (season high for targets per route was 15.6 percent in Week 1. He was targeted on 29.9 percent of his routes this past week), Doug Martin (as home favorites, there’s reason to kick the tires and carries have been there, but this matchup on the ground is tougher than the Jags get credit for), Jameis Winston (has been a turnover factory and has been the QB16 or lower every week so far)

 

Reasonable Return: Blake Bortles (has had three consecutive weeks in the front half of quarterback scoring), Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans (Jacksonville has allowed six top-30 receivers, but none in the top-20 so far)

 

New Orleans vs. Philadelphia

 

 

  • Drew Brees has completed 76 percent of his passes within 15 yards (79-104), but just 35 percent (8-23) further downfield.
  • Willie Snead‘s snap count has gone from 23, 43 and 50 to 54 while Brandon Coleman has gone from 64, 48 and 40 to 25.
  • Snead’s 10.9 yards per target rank 7th best of all receivers with 15 or more targets.
  • Of all running backs, Mark Ingram is second in targets (24), first in receptions (22) and third in receiving yards (203).
  • The Eagles average just 3.8 yards per play in the first half of games, fewest in the league.
  • Philadelphia averages just 23.9 yards per possession, fewest in the league while New Orleans is allowing 39.2 yards per opponent’s drive, highest in the league.
  • Sam Bradford was 4-8 with two touchdowns on throws 15 or more yards last week, after going 5-16 with no touchdowns on such throws through three weeks.
  • New Orleans is allowing .645 passing points and 11.1 adjusted yards per attempt, most in the league.
  • Darren Sproles has been targeted on 18.3 percent of snaps, highest of all running backs.
  • The Eagles average 6.8 punts per game, most in the league.
  • Jordan Matthews’ target share has been 25.0 percent, 24.3 percent, 28.6 percent and 28.6 percent while Philly’s passing schedule opens up.
  • The Saints have allowed a rushing touchdown is six straight games, longest streak in the league.

 

Trust: Sam Bradford (last week showed signs of life and this matchup is ripe for this passing game to take the step), Jordan Matthews

 

Bust: Drew Brees (went from QB23 to QB3 last week on the final two possessions and won’t have the comfort of the dome to mask his deteriorating arm strength), Brandin Cooks (has been a top-30 scorer just once), Nelson Agholor (finally turned being on the field often into something, but still hasn’t cracked the top-60 in a given week), Marques Colston (cracked double digit points just once)

 

Reasonable Return: Mark Ingram (the Eagles are allowing the second fewest rushing points per attempt, but has shown a rock steady floor), Willie Snead (coming on as secondary target and the passing volume should be here again), C.J. Spiller (70 percent of his output came on one play last week, but showed why they have to involve him more), DeMarco Murray (just one game with double digit carries so far, so he’s hard to trust in lineups, but the matchup is aligning for him to finally produce), Darren Sproles

 


Washington vs. Atlanta

 

 

  • Devonta Freeman‘s seven rushing touchdowns through four weeks are the most in a season since LaDainian Tomlinson‘s eight in 2005. It was also just the 9th time ever a player had 3 rushing TDs in back to back games.
  • After being targeted on 38.9 percent of his routes the first three weeks, Julio Jones was targeted on just 20.8 percent last week.
  • 11 of Leonard Hankerson‘s 17 receptions have come on third down this season, tied for third in the league.
  • Atlanta has scored a touchdown on 80 percent (12 of 15) of their red zone trips, highest touchdown rate in the league.
  • These teams are the top two in time of possession per game. Washington leads the league at 36:19 minutes and Atlanta is at 34:16 minutes per game.
  • The Falcons have faced the fewest rushing attempts (19.2 per game). Washington is averaging 31.5 rushing attempts per game, second most in the league.
  • After leading the backfield in snaps in Week 3 with 52, Chris Thompson played the second most (34) this past week.
  • Atlanta has allowed 42 receptions to opposing running backs, most in the league.
  • Matt Jones played just 16 snaps this past week after seeing 33 the previous week.
  • Jamison Crowder‘s target share climbed to 12.2 percent in Week 3 then went to 26.1 percent last week.

 

Trust: Julio Jones, Devonta Freeman (the way he and this offense are playing, even if Tevin Coleman returns, he should be plenty involved)

 

Bust: Matt Jones, Alfred Morris (I’m still not sure if Atlanta’s run defense is a ruse or not, but there’s no clarity on the usage here. Morris has offered no upside so far with his highest finish as RB24 and the touches inside of the 10-yard have been split down the middle at five apiece), Kirk Cousins (chasing points from Cousins as a sizable road underdog isn’t on my to-do list)

 

Reasonable Return: Pierre Garcon (you’re getting 5-60, just depends on a touchdown or not), Chris Thompson (as road dogs, Thompson has become Washington’s Theo Riddick), Jamison Crowder, Matt Ryan (as good as this offense has been, Ryan has just one performance inside of the top-12 so far), Leonard Hankerson, Derek Carrier (this offense has shown that it will pepper the tight end with targets even with Jordan Reed out)

 

Arizona vs. Detroit

 

 

  • David Johnson‘s snaps have gone from 14, 22 and 27 to 41 through four weeks.
  • Chris Johnson has carried on 53.5 percent of his snaps, highest percentage in the league.
  • Larry Fitzgerald‘s 2.79 points per target trails only James Jones (3.46) on the season.
  • Fitzgerald is averaging 108 receiving yards per game. His career high in that area is 93.9 yards per game back in 2007.
  • Through four weeks, just 13.3 percent (6/45) of Calvin Johnson‘s targets have been on throws 15 or more yards downfield. That mark was at 32 percent (41/128) in 2014.
  • Per Pro Football Focus, Matt Stafford’s average depth of throw is nearly two full yards shorter than it was in 2014, 6.4 yards compared to 8.3 yards.
  • Ameer Abdullah‘s first NFL carry went for a 24-yard touchdown. Since that carry, he’s rushed 33 times for 91 yards.
  • The Lions have just two rushing attempts greater than 10 yards (both from Abdullah), fewest in the NFL.
  • Just 16.1 percent of the Lions’ offensive yardage has been on the ground, lowest rate in the league.
  • Theo Riddick leads all running backs in receiving points at 43.5.

 

Trust: Larry Fitzgerald, John Brown (has been knocking on the door of some big weeks)

 

Bust: Matt Stafford (his highest finish so far is QB16), Ameer Abdullah (whether Joique Bell plays or not, this running game cannot be trusted), David Johnson (bump him up if Ellington is inactive again, but you’re counting on him to do a lot with a small amount of opportunity if he is)

 

Reasonable Return: Calvin Johnson (still seeing heavy targets, but the play calling and the state of this offensive line have turned him into a possession receiver), Golden Tate (his highest scoring so far is just WR35, but targets may finally flow his way as Patrick Peterson trails Johnson around), Theo Riddick (has been the sturdiest member of this backfield with three top-36 scoring weeks),  Carson Palmer (as hot as it seems he’s been, he’s been the QB13, QB14 and QB15 over the past three weeks), Chris Johnson (at least 19 touches each of the past three weeks and last week was a hint of what his role will look like if Andre Ellington  is active)

 

New England vs. Dallas

 

 

  • The Patriots have scored on 68 percent (21 of 31) offensive drives this season, highest in the league. They have a touchdown on 45 percent, also the highest.
  • Julian Edelman has seven or more receptions in seven consecutive games, longest active streak.
  • New England leads the league with 5.7 red zone trips per game.
  • In Week 3, Dion Lewis played 35 snaps to LeGarrette Blount‘s 28, but Lewis played 28 snaps to Blount’s seven in the first half when the Patriots built a 20-3 lead.
  • Dallas has allowed four or more receptions to six different backs and five or more receptions to four so far.
  • Only Jason Witten, Rob Gronkowski and Delanie Walker have been top-12 tight end scorers in every game played.
  • Witten is the only tight end to have 20 percent or more of his team’s targets in every game played this season.
  • Terrance Williams has 35 percent (8-23, no other player has more than four) of Dallas’ red zone targets. He’s converted one for a touchdown.
  • Over the past two weeks, Cowboys wide receivers have just 14 receptions. Cole Beasley has 10 of those.
  • Joseph Randle has just four second-half carries over the past two weeks.

 

Trust: Tom Brady, Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski, Dion Lewis

 

Bust: Joseph Randle (has been dreadful since the opening first quarter against Atlanta), Terrance Williams (he’s saved a few weeks with late touchdowns, but far from a receiver capable of leading a passing game), Cole Beasley

 

Reasonable Return: Jason Witten, LeGarrette Blount (Greg Hardy and Rolando McClain are back this week, but New England is still a heavy favorite with a huge team total. Scoring opportunities will be here)

 


Denver vs. Oakland

 

 

  • Both Antonio Brown (35 games) & Julio Jones (27 games) had their 50 yards receiving streaks end this week, leaving Emmanuel Sanders (14) as the new leader.
  • Demaryius Thomas is 11th in overall fantasy points at wide receiver, but only 8.2 percent of those points have been from touchdowns, which ranks 53rd.
  • Thomas is one of just three receivers, alongside Antonio Brown and Julian Edelman to be targeted on 25 percent or more of his routes in every game played,
  • C.J. Anderson‘s snap total has continuously declined from 57, 42 and 35 to 29 this past week.
  • Anderson ranks last out of all 53 qualifying (20 attempts or more) running backs in rushing points per attempt at .27. Hillman ranks 10th at .80.
  • 39.9 percent of Owen Daniels’ fantasy production is from touchdowns only, highest of all tight ends with 20 or more targets. His 2.9 yards per target is also last.
  • The Raiders have allowed 250 passing yards in seven consecutive games, longest streak in the league.
  • Since his WR42 Week 1, Amari Cooper has been the WR14, WR18 and WR21.

 

Trust: Peyton Manning, Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders

 

Bust: Michael Crabtree (has seen at least six targets every week, but also has to two games with fewer than 40 yards receiving), Derek Carr (he has solid home splits through two years, but I always fade quarterbacks against Denver) , Latavius Murray (expect a similar line to what you got last week), C.J. Anderson (don’t go chasing waterfalls)

 

Reasonable Return: Amari Cooper (tough matchup to expect him to hit his ceiling, but script should cushion the fall), Owen Daniels (he’ll really test the Oakland against tight end trend since he’s been ineffective outside of the 10-yard line), Ronnie Hillman (it was in Oakland last year where Anderson exploited his opportunity and the changing of the guard is coming, but Hillman also has 31 carries for 119 yards outside of his 72-yard score a week ago)

 

San Francisco vs. New York (NFC)

 

 

  • The Giants have allowed just five runs of 10 or more yards, fewest in the league.
  • After having six runs of 10 or more yards in Week 1, Carlos Hyde has just four over the past three weeks.
  • Just 18.1 percent of Giants’ opponent’s yardage has been rushing, the lowest percentage in the league.
  • San Francisco has scored on just two of their past 22 possessions and averaged just 14.0 yards per drive over that span.
  • 48.5 percent of Colin Kaepernick‘s fantasy production is from rushing, highest of any quarterback. The only other quarterback above 30 percent is Cam Newton (36.7 percent).
  • Rashad Jennings had his highest snap share (41.4 percent) of the season last week while Shane Vereen had his lowest (31.4 percent).
  • Vereen has just three targets over the past two weeks and zero receptions.
  • San Francisco has allowed a 95-yard receiver in three straight games.

 

Trust: Eli Manning (has picked up right where he left off a season ago), Odell Beckham (hasn’t gone nuclear yet, but this could be the week)

 

Bust: Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen, Andre Williams (this group is completely untrustworthy week to week), Colin Kaepernick, Anquan Boldin, Torrey Smith, Carlos Hyde (expect another rough week for this offense)

 

Reasonable Return: Rueben Randle (has scored each of the past two weeks and the San Francisco secondary is forgiving)

 

Pittsburgh vs. San Diego

 

 

  • Pittsburgh has allowed just five pass plays of 20 or more yards, fewest in the league.
  • Danny Woodhead leads all running backs with 25 or more touches in points per touch at 1.30.
  • Melvin Gordon ranks 50th at .49 points per touch.
  • Woodhead has been the RB5, RB10, RB39 and RB13. Melvin Gordon the RB41, RB23, RB51 and RB40.
  • Le’Veon Bell has reached at least 100 yards from scrimmage in 15 of his past 18 games played.
  • After seeing 11 targets in Week 1, Heath Miller has seen just seven since.
  • San Diego is the only team that has yet to allow a top-24 scoring wide receiver.
  • Antonio Brown‘s WR56 finish last week was his lowest weekly finish since Week 9, 2012.

 

Trust: Philip Rivers, Danny Woodhead, Keenan Allen (this team is built for a short passing game to be their true running game) Le’Veon Bell

 

Bust: Mike Vick (looked like the same passer we saw in New York), Heath Miller, Melvin Gordon

 

Reasonable Return: Antonio Brown (that weekly stability is compromised by Vick, but he also dropped a certain touchdown last week), Antonio Gates (with injuries at wide receiver, Gates should come back to a solid role in the offense), Dontrelle Inman (if Stevie Johnson and Malcom Floyd are out, Inman will be a viable flex option), Martavis Bryant (if there’s one thing Vick can do, it’s still uncorking a few long balls)

 

Context Key:

 

Trust = Set him in your lineups this week

Bust = Player to underperform season average

Reasonable Return = On par with seasonal average

Source Article from http://rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/56840/478/the-worksheet-week-5